Christmas | Crypto

A pre-Christmas Fed rate cut could boost spending, shift bond yields, lift risk assets and increase demand for crypto. The Fed’s Dec. 9-10 meeting carries unusual weight as markets wait to see whether another rate cut will arrive before Christmas, shaping bonds, equities and crypto. After two cuts in 2025, rates now sit at 3.75%-4.00%. Labor weakness and softer inflation support further easing, but officials remain divided because inflation risks have not fully cleared. A cooling job market, easing inflation and the end of quantitative tightening could justify another reduction and align with year-end liquidity needs. Read more

Bitcoin and gold often display a recurring pattern during the Christmas rally. Their movements are shaped by Federal Reserve policy, inflation trends and overall market liquidity. The Christmas rally, also known as the “Santa Claus rally,” refers to a recurring pattern in which crypto markets tend to rise during the final weeks of December and early January. Several factors contribute to this trend, including improved investor sentiment during the festive season and year-end portfolio adjustments as traders and institutions rebalance their holdings. Lower liquidity during the holidays can also amplify price movements, adding to the rally’s momentum. Around Christmas, crypto investors often behave differently than they do throughout the rest of the year. Read more

Bitcoin price weakness has good odds of flipping “positive yet less volatile” in the coming months, new research said. Key points: Bitcoin can reverse its latest slump to hit new all-time highs in the next four months, based on historical performance. Research says that the outlook for Bitcoin between now and Christmas is “positive yet less volatile.” Read more