Bitcoin markets have started to turn bullish again, but data shows that a key “bull market threshold” has not been established yet. Bitcoin’s (BTC) rally to $76,000 revived market optimism for investors, but onchain data suggested that the move may still be part of an early-stage recovery defined by frequent periods of price volatility. According to Glassnode, BTC price has entered a relatively “open” zone between $72,000 and $82,000, where there’s less resistance. This range is particularly defined by the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD), which highlights where the investors accumulated their coins. This means BTC may move more freely in the short term within this range, if the momentum holds. Read more
Bitcoin trades in a tight demand zone that formed in 2024, but previous bear market data suggests the channel will break and lead to new lows. Bitcoin’s (BTC) market structure shifted into a corrective phase after losing a key onchain valuation level in late January. Glassnode data shows that BTC's price is compressing within a 2024-era demand zone as liquidity conditions soften. At the same time, BTC's supply is steadily shifting into long-term, retail-linked wallets while exchange activity has cooled. This mix of technical and onchain data, along with the current capital rotation, may shape the next steps for Bitcoin price. Read more
Bitcoin and Ether ETFs have recorded sustained outflows since early November, which Glassnode says signals institutional disengagement. Bitcoin and Ether exchange-traded funds have seen a prolonged streak of outflows, indicating that institutional investors have disengaged with crypto, said the analytics platform Glassnode. Since early November, the 30-day simple moving average of net flows into US spot Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) ETFs has turned negative, Glassnode said on Tuesday. “This persistence suggests a phase of muted participation and partial disengagement from institutional allocators, reinforcing the broader liquidity contraction across the crypto market,” it added. Read more
A recent analysis shed light on another correlation between the world’s largest cryptocurrency and stablecoin by market capitalization. Blockchain analytics provider Glassnode reported a “strong negative correlation” between Bitcoin’s and USDt’s activity over the last two years. In a Wednesday X post, Glassnode shared a comparison between Bitcoin’s (BTC) price and net flows of USDt (USDT) to exchanges starting in December 2023. According to the analysis, net outflows of USDT from exchanges coincided with increases in the price of BTC. “During euphoric phases, USDT typically flows out at –$100M to –$200M/day as investors lock in profits,” said Glassnode. “At the $126K peak [in October], net outflows reached >$220M (30D-SMA); A clear profit-taking signal now easing as flows turn positive again.” Read more