Bitcoin's | Crypto

Bitcoin's 50% drop from its October peak is a macro shock in an overleveraged market, not a broken cycle, experts claim.

Bitcoin's drop below $65K triggered over $500M in liquidations, as macro uncertainty from tariffs and geopolitics reprices risk assets.

Economist Timothy Peterson expects Bitcoin to trade above its current level by December, though some analysts are pushing back on that view. Half of the months over the past two years have delivered positive returns for Bitcoin, which may be a strong sign that it will be higher than its current price in December, an economist said. “50% of the past 24 months have been positive. This implies a 88% chance that Bitcoin will be higher 10 months from now,” economist Timothy Peterson said in an X post on Saturday. In 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) posted gains in January, April, May, June, July, and September, while the other six months ended lower, according to CoinGlass. Peterson explained that he uses the metric to count the number of positive months in any 24-month period to identify possible inflection points. Read more

Bitcoin only needs a “marginal amount of new demand” to push higher, according to macroeconomist Lyn Alden, who is watching for a potential peak in AI stocks as a signal. Bitcoin’s next major leg up could hinge on artificial intelligence stocks becoming excessively overvalued in the eyes of investors, according to macroeconomist Lyn Alden. “It could be that the AI stocks eventually just peak, they get so silly big that they can’t get realistically much higher,” Alden told Natalie Brunell on the Coin Stories podcast published to YouTube on Thursday. When an asset’s price rises to a level where further gains are harder to justify, capital often moves into other opportunities with more potential upside. Read more

New Keyrock research finds not all newly created money impacts risk assets due to how fresh liquidity flows through the economy. Treasury bill issuance is the primary liquidity metric that impacts Bitcoin’s (BTC) price and not the Federal Reserve or any other central bank’s balance sheet, according to a new report from crypto investment firm and market maker Keyrock. Every 1% change in global liquidity levels impacts BTC’s price by 7.6% the following business quarter in which new money is created. However, not all liquidity impacts risk asset prices equally, Keyrock researcher Amir Hajian said. Treasury bill issuance has about an 80% correlation with BTC prices since 2021, and this metric leads BTC prices by about eight months, according to the report. Hajian wrote: Read more

Arthur Hayes warns Bitcoin's divergence from a flat Nasdaq signals an AI-driven credit crisis, but experts say the timeline is overstretched.

The Bitcoin Mayer Multiple reached 0.65, echoing the deep bear market conditions of 2022 and sparking debate on whether BTC's real bottom lies at $50,000 or lower. Bitcoin (BTC) has entered the “darkest days” of its bear market correction, based on a classic BTC price indicator hitting near four-year lows. Key takeaways: Bitcoin Mayer Multiple fell to 0.65, matching deep bear market lows in May 2022. Read more

Still, Bitcoin often rebounds toward its energy value after long downtrends, with one model pointing to a fair price near $121,000. A Bitcoin (BTC) metric tracking the electricity cost to mine one coin is flashing a warning for the bulls, with a so-called “miner exodus” adding to the bearish outlook. Key takeaways: BTC could fall toward the $59,000–$74,000 miner cost zone. Read more

Bitcoin's price rally to $90,000 failed to hold after 16,653 BTC were sent to exchanges, but an improving spot market suggests traders see BTC’s current pricing as discounted. Crypto exchanges saw a surge in Bitcoin (BTC) flows over the past two days, emulating a pattern seen when the market topped in July and August 2025. A total 16,653 BTC was sent to exchanges, potentially a sign that the current sell-off could deepen. Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr. said that the atypical BTC exchange inflow occurred Tuesday and Wednesday, including 9,867 BTC on Tuesday and 6,786 BTC onWednesday. This sharply contrasts with January’s average daily netflow range of -2,000 to +2,000 BTC. Although the netflow has since normalized (+296 BTC), the accumulated inflows create a supply overhang near current levels. As a result, the current move toward $89,000 to $90,000 is viewed as a key resistance test. Read more

Bitcoin entered a decisive breakout phase, targeting $107,000 as long-term holder selling fades and BTC continues to leave exchanges, tightening supply. Bitcoin (BTC) could reclaim $100,000 as support and rally toward $107,000 in the coming days, driven by a combination of supportive technical and fundamental metrics. Key takeaways: Bitcoin’s breakout is gaining traction, backed by bullish technicals and fading selling pressure. Read more

Bitcoin's brief surge on Wednesday was quickly erased by spot selling, with on-chain data indicating dense supply caps and a lack of demand.

Bitcoin's drop to $85,800 has pushed new whales into 2023-level losses, while on-chain data reveals short-term holders buying the dips.

Bitcoin's recent 15% rally was driven by short covering, but a sustained recovery is possible with a short squeeze and uptick in spot demand.

As Bitcoin's rally pushes dominance to 59%, experts see altseason delayed but not cancelled, pending a market rotation.

Bitcoin's recent bull run has been characterized by steady price increases and declining volatility, aligning more with traditional financial markets.

Almost all of Bitcoin's actual users have gone away, one observer said, warning of a major crisis.