Bitcoin price action remained weak as the US-Iran war delivered a Fed meeting that was the "most hawkish in years" and oil neared four-year highs. Bitcoin (BTC) failed to recover new support on Thursday as oil hit its highest levels in nearly four years. Key points: Data from TradingView showed BTC/USD circling $76,000, down around 2% from the previous day’s high. Read more
Bitcoin price volatility tends to spike before and after the FOMC, a pattern that is playing out this week. Will institutional investor BTC buying protect the $70,000 support? Bitcoin (BTC) fell from its local high at $79,500 as traders repositioned ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday. Historical data shows that since the start of 2025, BTC has corrected seven out of 10 times after an interest rate cut. Bitcoin’s reaction to interest rate cut decisions in 2025 and 2026 shows a clear pattern. The price often moved higher in the days before the meeting, followed by negative returns afterward, as illustrated in the chart. Read more
Dogecoin’s latest rebound resembled bounces witnessed in mid-2023, raising the odds of a rally toward $0.33 in the coming weeks. Dogecoin (DOGE) gained as much as 12% on Wednesday, leading gains in a broader relief rally across global risk markets ahead of the US Federal Reserve decision on interest rate cuts. Key takeaways: DOGE rose as much as 14% to an intraday high of $0.112 on Wednesday from a low of $0.097, outperforming the broader crypto market. Read more
Bitcoin price traded at $74,000 as investors braced for Jerome Powell’s post-FOMC speech that could see volatile swings toward key BTC price levels. Bitcoin (BTC) traded at $74,000 on Wednesday, 2.6% below its six-week high of $76,000 reached on Tuesday, as traders brace for volatility following the US interest rate decision. Key takeaways: The odds of the US Federal Reserve leaving interest rates unchanged today are 100%. Read more
The number of traders expecting a rate cut at the March Federal Open Market Committee meeting rose following fears of a hawkish Fed nominee. The number of traders expecting an interest rate cut at the March Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting has risen to 23%, following investor fears of a hawkish stance from Kevin Warsh, US President Donald Trump’s Federal Reserve chair nominee. Investors and traders forecasting a rate cut surged by nearly 5% from Friday, when only 18.4% signaled they were expecting an interest rate cut, according to data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Group. Those anticipating a rate cut in March forecast a 25 basis point (BPS) cut, with no investors expecting a rate cut of 50 BPS or more. Read more
Bitcoin disappointed with an apparent failed breakout above $90,000 after gold soared to fresh highs and US dollar strength nosedived. Bitcoin (BTC) attempted a rebound past $90,000 at Wednesday’s Wall Street open as markets awaited US macro cues. Key points: Bitcoin struggles to hold a $90,000 uptick as gold surges and US dollar strength crumbles. Read more
Bitcoin price traded below $90,000 as investors braced for Jerome Powell’s post-FOMC speech that could trigger volatile swings toward key BTC price levels. Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to break the resistance at $90,000 on Wednesday, as traders expect volatile price swings before and after the US policy decision on interest rate cuts. Key takeaways: The odds of the US Federal Reserve leaving interest rates unchanged today are 100%. Read more
Bitcoin remains volatile ahead of the FOMC, with big overhead resistance at $94,000 in place and several key support levels below. Bitcoin’s (BTC) price failed in another attempt to break above resistance at $94,000 on Tuesday as volatility hit the market ahead of the Fed rate cut decision on Wednesday. Key takeaways: The odds of a 25 bps cut on Wednesday now stand at 96%, according to Polymarket. Read more
Analysts say the crypto market has already priced in Wednesday's interest rate cut, but the Federal Reserve remains divided on an additional cut in December. The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut on Wednesday, bringing the target Federal Funds rate down to 3.75%-4%. Wednesday’s rate cut was “fully priced in” by investors, who widely anticipated the decision, according to Matt Mena, a market analyst at investment company 21Shares. Mena also forecast: Asset prices remained flat or fell by modest amounts on Wednesday following the FOMC decision, with the price of Bitcoin (BTC) falling by about 2.4% at the time of writing, following Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments signaling that FOMC members are divided on a December rate cut. Read more
Powell said the Federal Open Market Committee is weighing interest rates on a meeting-by-meeting basis, with no long-term consensus. US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the 19 members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) remain divided on additional interest rate cuts in 2025. At Wednesday’s press conference after the Fed’s 25-basis-point rate cut, Powell said the central bank is trying to balance its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability in an unusual environment where the labor market is weakening even as inflation remains elevated. Powell said: Powell said that the “median” FOMC projection from the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), the Fed’s quarterly outlook for the US economy that informs interest rate decisions, projected interest rates at 3.6% at the end of 2025, 3.4% by the end of 2026, and 3.1% at the end of 2027. Read more
Bitcoin futures open interest dropped by $2 billion ahead of this week’s FOMC, but the Coinbase premium index shows traders are determined to defend the $115,000 price level. Key takeaways: Bitcoin futures open interest fell $2 billion in five days, signaling cautious futures traders. Binance taker volume averages cycle lows as the market waits for Fed’s interest rate decision. Read more
Bitcoin is in no mood to party into the FOMC rate-cut decision while stocks and gold outperform to start a key macro trading week. Key points: Bitcoin diverges from stocks and gold to see daily losses of 2% to start the week. Analysis hopes that the upcoming Federal Reserve interest-rate decision will provide a BTC price boost. Read more