Polymarket | Crypto

Polymarket has secured CFTC no-action relief, has closed CFTC and DOJ probes, has acquired licensed exchange QCX and has begun limited U.S. trading, setting up a regulated relaunch as it links prediction markets to X and attracts political advisers. The post Polymarket Is Back: Crypto Prediction Giant Relaunches in U.S. With CFTC Green Light appeared first on Cryptonews.

Select users in the US will be among the first to access the predictions platform to bet on sports event contracts, following clearance from a financial regulator for a relaunch. Prediction platform Polymarket has begun rolling out its relaunch in the United States, announcing that waitlisted users would be the first to access its US app. In a Wednesday X post, Polymarket said that it would be making its US app available to waitlisted users, beginning with bets on sports event contracts, “followed by markets on everything.” The official launch came about three months after the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued a no-action letter to a crypto derivatives exchange and clearinghouse acquired by Polymarket, laying the groundwork for the launch of its US services. Read more

The first thing many Ukrainians check in the morning is not Instagram or email, it is a war map. DeepStateMap.Live, a volunteer-built OSINT project, shows which villages are under occupation, where Ukrainian advances hold, and where the front looks fragile. It’s a survival tool as much as a news product, funded by donations and backed […] The post Polymarket war bets collide with the maps civilians use to survive appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Cleanspark, Riot, Cipher and Circle rose higher as the odds of a US rate-cut in December reached its highest level of the month on the prediction market. Several crypto-linked stocks climbed on Friday as prediction-market odds of a December rate cut surged to 87% on Polymarket, the highest level this month. Three US-listed Bitcoin miners led the rally, with Cleanspark, Riot Platforms and Cipher Mining all rising in the session and showing double-digit gains over the past five days. Yahoo Finance data showed Circle, the issuer of USDC, jumped nearly 10% in early trading, while Michael Saylor’s Strategy and Coinbase notched more modest increases at the time of writing. Read more

Crypto majors were slightly red, with BTC down 1% at $86,600 and ETH down 1% at $2,910, while BNB gained 1% to $856 and SOL held steady at $136. Among top movers, MON (+24%), SPX (+13%), and IP (+7%) led the market. In policy and institutional developments, Texas launched its Bitcoin reserve with a $5 million purchase of BlackRock’s IBIT ETF, marking the first deployment of its approved $10 million BTC budget. U.S. Bank completed a test of issuing a proprietary stablecoin on the Stellar network, and MoonPay secured a New York trust charter, joining firms like Coinbase and Ripple to expand institutional custody and service capabilities. Polymarket received CFTC approval to reenter the U.S., enabling it to onboard domestic users, brokers, and intermediaries, while Kalshi was blocked in Nevada from offering sports and election markets after a judge reversed an earlier ruling. Klarna introduced its own stablecoin, KlarnaUSD, on Tempo. Meanwhile, the Department of Homeland Security has reportedly been investigatin...

The approval came as the US Senate is expected to soon vote on prospective CFTC Chair Michael Selig as a replacement for acting chair Caroline Pham. Prediction platform Polymarket has received regulatory approval from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission to operate an intermediated trading platform. In a Tuesday notice, Polymarket said the CFTC issued an Amended Order of Designation, which will allow the company to “operate an intermediated trading platform subject to the full set of requirements applicable to federally regulated US exchanges.” According to Polymarket, the approval will result in the platform onboarding brokerages and customers directly and facilitating trading on US venues. “This approval allows us to operate in a way that reflects the maturity and transparency that the US regulatory framework demands,” said Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan. Read more

Polymarket’s onchain prediction data and fan-sentiment feeds will be integrated across UFC events, creating a new interactive layer for viewers. Polymarket has signed a multi-year deal with TKO Group Holdings to become the official prediction market partner for the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) and Zuffa Boxing, bringing real-time forecasting into live fight broadcasts. A UFC blog post on Thursday said Polymarket will add a data-driven storytelling layer that tracks fan sentiment in real-time, including a “Fan Prediction Scoreboard” that converts crowd expectations into a live readout of the audience’s shifting pulse during each event.  Polymarket is a blockchain-based prediction platform where people trade on the outcome of real-world events. The company's founder and CEO, Shayne Coplan, said the partnership will give fans a “new way to be part of the action — not just watching outcomes but watching the world’s expectations evolve with every round.” Read more

PrizePicks has teamed up with Polymarket to let users wager on real-world outcomes, expanding beyond fantasy sports into the growing prediction-market space. PrizePicks, one of North America’s largest daily fantasy sports operators, has partnered with Polymarket to expand into the prediction-markets space — a move that could open new revenue streams beyond its core fantasy sports business. The partnership will integrate Polymarket’s event contracts directly into the PrizePicks app, allowing users to make predictions on outcomes spanning sports, entertainment and cultural events, the companies disclosed Tuesday.  Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan said the collaboration could attract millions of PrizePicks users to the emerging prediction-markets ecosystem. Read more

A Columbia study found that up to 60% of Polymarket’s volume may stem from wash trading, raising new concerns about artificial activity in prediction markets. The rapid growth of the prediction market Polymarket may not be entirely organic but instead inflated by artificial trading activity, according to research published by Columbia University. In an 80-page paper titled “Network-Based Detection of Wash-Trading,” which has not yet undergone peer review, Columbia researchers identified extensive wash-trading activity on Polymarket beginning in July 2024. That month, they found that wash trades accounted for nearly 60% of the platform’s total trading volume. “This activity persisted through late April 2025 before subsiding substantially, and once again increased to about 20 percent of volume in early October 2025,” they wrote.  Read more

A Columbia study found that up to 60% of Polymarket’s volume may stem from wash trading, raising new concerns about artificial activity in prediction markets. The rapid growth of the prediction market Polymarket may not be entirely organic but instead inflated by artificial trading activity, according to research published by Columbia University. In an 80-page paper titled “Network-Based Detection of Wash-Trading,” which has not yet undergone peer review, Columbia researchers identified extensive wash-trading activity on Polymarket beginning in July 2024. That month, they found that wash trades accounted for nearly 60% of the platform’s total trading volume. “This activity persisted through late April 2025 before subsiding substantially, and once again increased to about 20 percent of volume in early October 2025,” they wrote.  Read more

Crypto markets turned red, with major tokens falling sharply — Bitcoin dropped 3% to $99,800, Ethereum slipped 4% to $3,210, Binance Coin declined 1% to $933, and Solana fell 3% to $152. Among top movers, Filecoin surged 50%, Zcash gained 20%, Internet Computer rose 20%, and NEAR Protocol climbed 18%. Crypto-related stocks also tumbled yesterday, with MicroStrategy down 7%, Coinbase off 7.5%, Robinhood losing 11%, and Iris Energy dropping 11%. Meanwhile, Donald Trump reaffirmed his pro-crypto stance, calling America a “Bitcoin superpower” and warning of competition from China, according to CoinDesk. JPMorgan estimated Bitcoin’s fair value near $170,000 using a gold-based model, while Google announced plans to integrate prediction market data from Polymarket and Kalshi. Tether purchased $97 million worth of Bitcoin during the latest dip, consistent with its policy of using 15% of profits for BTC accumulation. Additionally, Robinhood is considering adding Bitcoin to its balance sheet, and Base lead Jesse Pollac...

Google Finance will soon show live data from Polymarket and Kalshi, letting users ask about future events and view changing market odds in search. The post Google Finance Moves to Include Real-Time Prediction Market Feeds from Kalshi, Polymarket appeared first on Cryptonews.

Polymarket’s ban in Romania follows similar crackdowns in the US, France, Belgium, Poland, Singapore and Thailand, where regulators cited unlicensed gambling activity. Romania’s National Office for Gambling (ONJN) has blacklisted leading prediction market Polymarket, calling it an unlicensed gambling platform operating outside state oversight. The decision follows what regulators described as a surge in crypto-based betting during Romania’s presidential and local elections, where Polymarket’s trading volume reportedly exceeded $600 million, according to a recent statement from the regulator. ONJN added that the platform’s activity constitutes “counterpart betting,” meaning users wager money against one another on the outcomes of future events, a model that falls squarely under gambling laws, regardless of its blockchain-based format. Read more

After a September decision from a US regulator paved the way for Polymarket's return, the company is reportedly only weeks away from an initial relaunch. Prediction platform Polymarket is reportedly eyeing launching trading services in the United States in a matter of weeks. According to a Tuesday Bloomberg report citing people familiar with the matter, Polymarket plans to initially launch limited trades available to US residents before the end of November, with an emphasis on sports betting.  The relaunch report came about two months after the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) said it had issued a no-action letter to a crypto derivatives exchange and clearinghouse acquired by Polymarket. This move set the stage for the company to “go live in the USA,” according to CEO Shayne Coplan. Read more

Polymarket’s Matthew Modabber confirmed the platform will eventually launch a token, but said entering the US market takes priority. Polymarket will eventually launch a token, Chief Marketing Officer Matthew Modabber confirmed on Thursday, but it will take a backseat to launching the US-facing Polymarket App. The prediction market platform secured a $2 billion investment from Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of The New York Stock Exchange, in October at a $10 billion valuation. Moddaber said: Prediction markets Polymarket and its competitor Kalshi became mainstream in 2024, attracting individuals who are non-crypto natives into the world of digital assets and blockchain technology. Read more

Polymarket’s Matthew Modabber confirmed the platform will eventually launch a token, but said entering the US market takes priority. Polymarket will eventually launch a token, Chief Marketing Officer Matthew Modabber confirmed on Thursday, but it will take a backseat to launching the US-facing Polymarket App. The prediction market platform secured a $2 billion investment from Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of The New York Stock Exchange, in October at a $10 billion valuation. Moddaber said: Prediction markets Polymarket and its competitor Kalshi became mainstream in 2024, attracting individuals who are non-crypto natives into the world of digital assets and blockchain technology. Read more

Polymarket will act as a clearinghouse for DraftKings’ upcoming prediction market platform, following its acquisition of Railbird earlier this week. American sports betting platform DraftKings is tapping Polymarket as the clearinghouse for its new prediction market, an industry that clocks over $4 billion in monthly trading volume. “Congrats to DraftKings on their acquisition of Railbird. We’re proud for Polymarket Clearing to be their designated clearinghouse as they enter the prediction market space,” Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan said in an X post on Wednesday. Railbird is a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-regulated predictions market platform, which DraftKings acquired for an undisclosed amount on Tuesday. Read more

World’s Polymarket Mini App integration came amid prediction markets surging past 2024 records, with $2 billion in weekly trading volumes. World, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s digital identity project, formerly known as Worldcoin, is expanding into prediction markets by integrating Polymarket. World App, a mobile application that combines a digital wallet with World’s decentralized identity tool, World ID, has integrated the Polymarket App, the company announced on Tuesday. “World App users can download and access the new Mini App today in countries where Polymarket’s services are permitted,” the announcement said. Read more

Data from Polymarket showed one user with a recently opened account made more than $30,000 exclusively through bets on the peace prize winner. Norwegian officials have reportedly launched an investigation into prediction platforms’ bets on 2025 Nobel Peace Prize winner María Corina Machado as potential espionage. According to a Bloomberg report on Monday, the Norwegian Nobel Institute, the entity that assists the Nobel Committee in selecting the peace prize recipient, began investigating reports that bets on the prediction platform Polymarket surged in the hours before the announcement of Machado as the winner. Officials are reportedly still in the process of investigating whether someone “managed to steal information and made a lot of money from it,” according to the institute’s director, Kristian Berg Harpviken.  Read more

A high-stakes capital race has redefined the prediction market. Kalshi’s $300 million raise at a $5 billion valuation positioned it as the most valuable CFTC-regulated event-contract exchange in history. The firm’s expansion into 140 countries and growing list of macro and cultural markets seemed to cement its place as the global leader. Around the same […] The post Why Kalshi’s $5B valuation puts Polymarket on notice appeared first on CryptoSlate.