Many experts voiced concerns that the confirmation of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair would lead to uncertainty about the central bank’s independence, particularly in setting interest rates. Kevin Warsh is set to be sworn in as the next chair of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors on Friday amid speculation about whether he'll do what US President Donald Trump hopes he does: Lower interest rates once in office. On Wednesday, the US Senate voted largely along party lines to confirm Warsh as the next Fed chair, succeeding Jerome Powell. While Trump nominated both Fed governors in different terms, the president repeatedly threatened to fire Powell in recent months, saying that the Fed chair “should be lowering interest rates.” Source: Kalshi Read more
A new war, private credit market weakness and spiking commodities prices add tail risk to Bitcoin’s price. Is $65,000 BTC’s next stop? Key takeaways: Bitcoin faced pressure as rising oil prices and weak US data sparked risk-off sentiment and drove investors to gold. A redemption spike in private credit funds from BlackRock and Blackstone signaled growing anxiety among retail investors. Read more
Bitcoin bets on Polymarket show elevated downside risk in 2026 as analysts point to bearish trends and tight US liquidity conditions. Prediction markets have turned more bearish on Bitcoin after a weekend sell-off briefly pushed prices below $75,000 on Monday. On Polymarket, the odds of Bitcoin (BTC) falling below $65,000 in 2026 climbed to 72% on Monday, with almost $1 million in volume. Other large wagers included bets on BTC dropping below $55,000 and reclaiming $100,000 by year-end, with implied probabilities of 61% and 54%, respectively. Read more