A new Bitcoin model shows long-term returns remain in the 300% range regardless of an investor’s entry price. Will shifting global liquidity change the outcome this time? Key takeaways: Power-law modeling shows Bitcoin generates strong long-term returns regardless of precise entry timing. Global liquidity sits far above prior-cycle levels, supporting a more favorable macroeconomic backdrop. Read more
Bitcoin’s current correction is the largest of the bull market, but data indicate that the price is approaching prime capitulation territory. Bitcoin’s (BTC) drawdown on Monday pushed the asset into a 26.7% loss, narrowly overtaking the 26.5% slide seen in April, and marking the steepest correction of the current bull market. The move red-lined multiple market structure indicators, suggesting the current correction could be a final leverage washout phase. Key takeaways: Bitcoin’s 26.7% correction is now the largest of the cycle. Read more
Strategy remains poised for an S&P 500 inclusion in 2025, as the world’s largest Bitcoin holder is unlikely to have to liquidate its holdings to service its debt. The recent crypto market correction has reignited questions about the durability of corporate Bitcoin treasury plays, but Matrixport researchers say the largest of them, Strategy, still appears on track for possible S&P 500 inclusion. Despite recurring doubts about whether Strategy’s business model can withstand deep drawdowns, analysts argue that a forced, large-scale liquidation by the world’s largest corporate Bitcoin (BTC) holder is not a “near-term risk,” according to a Wednesday research report by Matrixport. Instead, the real pressure from the recent correction is on the stockholders who bought the stock at an inflated net asset value (NAV), who are currently suffering the impact of the company’s NAV compression. Read more
Bitcoin miner Bitfury started up in 2011, but has now pivoted to tech investing and will pour $1 billion into ethical AI and crypto startups. Bitfury is the latest Bitcoin miner to pivot away from the mining sector, announcing it will become an investment firm focused on “ethical emerging technologies,” including artificial intelligence and crypto. Bitfury said on Tuesday that it would pour $1 billion into AI and crypto startups as early as the fourth quarter of 2025, with the funds coming from its previous operations, successful investments, and a network of investors. “Our mission is to close the gap between innovation and ethics by acting as a catalyst for founders and investors building technologies that serve people and promote long-term resilience,” said Bitfury CEO Val Vavilov. Read more
Bitcoin has gained on average in November, but that figure is “skewed” and market participants shouldn’t always rely on it, a crypto executive says. Analysts have questioned whether November deserves its reputation as Bitcoin’s historically “strongest month” after the cryptocurrency dropped 10% over the past seven days and briefly sank below $90,000. “Historical averages suggest strength, but those numbers are skewed and the current backdrop is anything but normal,” James Harris, the CEO of crypto yield provider Tesseract, told Cointelegraph. Harris said that while the break below the long-term average is noteworthy, it is “not the full picture.” Read more
Bitcoin’s recent weakness reflects broader economic stress, but improving liquidity and investors’ positive outlook for 2026 could set the stage for a strong rebound. Key takeaways: Federal Reserve balance-sheet limits and possible repo operations point to improving liquidity conditions that could boost Bitcoin and other risk assets. Fiscal strain and sector weakness currently weigh on markets, but easing tariffs and a targeted stimulus plan may support a recovery in crypto demand. Read more
Bitcoin whales are accelerating their purchasing despite BTC’s short-term bearish outlook. Meanwhile, Wall Street analysts expect BTC to hit new all-time highs before the end of 2025. Key takeaways: Bitcoin’s drop below its MVRV Mean band puts $75,700 as the next major downside target. BTC whales are accelerating their purchases as Wall Street analysts predict a 40% price rebound by year-end. Read more
Bitcoin jumped 4% as US equities dropped ahead of Nvidia’s earnings report, but onchain data noted weak institutional demand. Does data show BTC's rebound as a sign of spot buying? Key takeaways: Bitcoin rebounded 4% from a key range under $90,000, outperforming US equities on Tuesday. Tech stocks slid ahead of Nvidia’s pivotal Q3 earnings, which may determine the next phase of the AI trade. Read more
Institutions across the globe are adopting cryptocurrency, offering new services and buying into blockchain tech, despite slumping Bitcoin price. Markets are in a slump, with Bitcoin’s (BTC) price sinking below the $100,000 threshold. Despite a downward correction in markets, institutions continue to adopt digital assets in their operations. In the US, a major digital trading platform and chartered bank has opened crypto trading to institutional clients. The derivatives arm of the Singapore Exchange is getting into digital assets as well, opening up perpetual futures trading in crypto. Policy changes have allowed some firms to offer crypto exchange-traded products (ETPs), expanding the availability of crypto-related institutional financial products. Read more
Bitcoin analysts are divided over whether the four-year cycle is in play or not as the price plunges: Trade Secrets Is this crypto market cycle over after four years or should the four-year crypto market cycle theory itself be consigned to history? Swan Bitcoin CEO and Bitcoin advocate Cory Klippsten leans toward the latter view. There is a very good chance that Bitcoins famous four-year price cycles are over, killed by institutional adoption, Klippsten tells Magazine. The debate has Bitcoin analysts around the world divided. Some insist the four-year cycle is still alive; others say it is dead and argue that Bitcoin is following a completely different path altogether. So whos right? Read more
El Salvador says it has bought 1,090 BTC worth over $100 million, raising questions about an IMF loan pledge to limit Bitcoin exposure and fiscal risks. El Salvador, the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, says it has bought more than $100 million in BTC despite pledging to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to limit public exposure to the asset as part of a loan agreement. According to data from El Salvador’s Bitcoin Office, the government acquired 1,090 Bitcoin (BTC) worth more than $100 million on Tuesday. The purchase comes after the IMF said in a July report that the Central American nation had not bought any new Bitcoin since the organization approved a $1.4 billion loan program at the end of 2024. According to El Salvador’s Bitcoin reserve data, the country’s Bitcoin holdings went from 5,968 BTC on Dec. 18, 2024 — when the government inked a deal with the IMF — to over 7,474 BTC following its latest purchase announcement. Read more
Mt. Gox just moved 10,608 BTC worth $953 million, its first big transfer in months, as $4 billion in creditor repayments stay delayed until October 2026. Defunct Japanese cryptocurrency exchange Mt. Gox has made its largest Bitcoin move in eight months, even as it pushes back creditor repayments until late 2026. The Mt. Gox-labelled cold wallet transferred 10,608 Bitcoin (BTC) worth over $953 million into a new cryptocurrency wallet, marking its first large-scale transfer in eight months. The transfer was also the first movement above $1 million from the address since March 25, when 893 BTC worth $77.3 million were moved, according to Arkham. Read more