A similar setup in 2023 preceded a 340% Bitcoin rally, reinforcing the argument that BTC is undervalued at current prices. Bitcoin (BTC) has been in a downtrend since early October, with the price dropping below its network value, suggesting a possible recovery in 2026. Key takeaways: Bitcoin price dropped below its fair value, a setup that has historically preceded positive one-year returns. Read more
Grayscale said Bitcoin’s 2025 sell-off looks like a local bottom, not a new cycle peak, with Fed policy and US crypto bills key for 2026. Bitcoin’s latest pullback may already be bottoming out, with asset manager Grayscale arguing that the market is on track to break the traditional four-year halving cycle and potentially set new all-time highs in 2026. Some indicators are already pointing to a local bottom, not a prolonged drawdown, including Bitcoin’s (BTC) elevated option skew rising above 4, which signals that investors have already hedged “extensively” for downside exposure. Despite a 32% decline, Bitcoin is on track to disrupt the traditional four-year halving cycle, wrote Grayscale in a Monday research report. “Although the outlook is uncertain, we believe the four-year cycle thesis will prove to be incorrect, and that Bitcoin’s price will potentially make new highs next year,” the report said. Read more
Bitcoin fudged the breakout to $93,000 as global TradFi markets stumbled and BTC spot investors failed to provide the necessary volume. Bitcoin (BTC) attempted to close above a key resistance zone last week after briefly spiking to roughly $93,300. However, BTC failed to stop a mean-reversion trend, with the price dropping below $85,000 on Monday. Key takeaways: Bitcoin’s inability to close above $93,000 invalidated the confirmation of a bullish trend reversal. Read more
Bitcoin’s decline to $84,000 was driven by US dollar stablecoin concerns, a weakening global macroeconomic outlook and factors beyond Japan’s bond market stress. Key takeaways: Stablecoin concerns, regulatory pressure, and reduced risk appetite among traders weighed more on Bitcoin than Japan’s bond-market moves. Reduced confidence in global growth and stress on digital asset reserve companies amplified BTC selling and subsequent stop losses. Read more
Ether futures overtake Bitcoin on CME as ETH volatility spikes, fueling debate over a potential Ether super-cycle amid a broader crypto market pullback. Trading activity in Ether futures has surpassed that of Bitcoin on the Chicago-based CME Group, marking a notable shift in the digital asset derivatives market and fueling speculation that Ether may be entering a long-anticipated “super-cycle” — a sustained, multi-year period of accelerated growth driven by rising adoption. In a recent CME video, Priyanka Jain, the exchange’s director of equity and crypto products, said Ether (ETH) options are currently exhibiting higher volatility than Bitcoin (BTC) options. Rather than deterring participation, she said, the increased volatility has attracted traders and helped drive growth in Ether futures activity. “This heightened volatility has served as a powerful magnet for traders, directly accelerating participation in CME Group’s Ether futures,” Jain said. “Is this Ether’s long-awaited super-cycle, or merely a catch...
Mining revenue hits structural lows as hashprice sinks, costs rise and payback periods stretch past 1,000 days, squeezing even the largest operators. The Bitcoin mining industry has entered what may be its most severe economic downturn in its 15-year history, with even large publicly traded operators struggling to break even amid collapsing mining revenue and rising debt, according to TheMinerMag. In its latest report, TheMinerMag said miners are operating in the “harshest margin environment of all time,” as hashprice — the revenue earned per unit of computing power — has fallen from an average of about $55 per petahash per second (PH/s) in the third quarter to roughly $35 PH/s, a level the publication characterized as a structural low rather than a temporary dip. The deterioration followed a sharp correction in the price of Bitcoin (BTC), which fell from a record high near $126,000 in October to below $80,000 in November. Read more
Bitcoin fell further thanks to Wall Street selling pressure, while analysis predicted a key few days for the 2025 BTC price candle. Bitcoin (BTC) hit new local lows after Monday’s Wall Street open as analysis warned of “rising” macro headwinds. Key points: BTC price action plumbs new local lows as daily losses pass the 7% mark. Read more
Bitcoin’s first monthly MACD rollover this cycle, alongside onchain data, raised the odds of a deeper pullback, as BTC price forecasts now include the mid-$60,000s. Bitcoin (BTC) sellers are getting increasingly louder as several more bearish signals have emerged for this week. Key takeaways: Bitcoin’s monthly MACD rollover keeps risks skewed toward further downside. Read more
Strategy funded a new reserve from stock sales to cover at least 12 months of dividends as it boosts its Bitcoin stash to 650,000 coins amid market volatility. Michael Saylor’s Strategy, the world’s largest public Bitcoin holder, is creating a $1.44 billion US dollar reserve to support dividend payments on its preferred stock and interest on its outstanding debt. Strategy on Monday announced the establishment of a US dollar reserve funded through proceeds from the sale of Class A common stock under its at-the-market offering program. “Strategy’s current intention is to maintain a USD Reserve in an amount sufficient to fund at least twelve months of its dividends, and Strategy intends to strengthen the USD Reserve over time, with the goal of ultimately covering 24 months or more of its dividends,” the company said. Read more
Bitcoin gained fresh BTC price crash predictions as it fell to $85,000 in flash volatility at the monthly close amid a lack of liquidity. Bitcoin (BTC) threatens a fresh crash as December begins with a snap 5% BTC price drawdown. Bitcoin price volatility hits around the November monthly close, with BTC/USD falling to near $85,000. Analysis blames a lack of market liquidity, while history warns that bearishness may continue in December. Read more
Bitcoin opened the week in the red as fears of a Bank of Japan rate hike triggered a yen carry trade unwind, potentially risking a drop in BTC price to $67,000. Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a sharp pullback in early Asian trading on Monday, dropping to $85,500 amid increasing expectations of a December rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Key takeaways: Bitcoin dropped 5% to almost $85,000 in a marketwide correction, liquidating $656 million in longs. Read more
New research showed BTC price action on course to copy the 2022 bear market while risk-asset inflows showed signs of a bullish turnaround. Bitcoin (BTC) is repeating its latest bull market bottom with near 100% correlation in 2025. Key points: Bitcoin is tracking the 2022 bear market with concerning accuracy, with the end of the year just a month away. Read more